Newsletter n 1
Geopolitical Newsletter – May 9, 2026 End of the US–Iran Truce: The Lid Blows Off The informal truce between the United States and Iran is over. Washington won’t say it openly, but the signals are unmistakable: strategic patience has run out. Three factors broke the deadlock: the rise of Iran‑backed militias, targeted provocations against US interests, and continued nuclear progress despite repeated warnings. The US is shifting into active‑pressure mode. Not open confrontation yet, but the phase right before it. The regional context amplifies the risk. Israel maintains constant military pressure. The Houthis disrupt maritime routes. Iraq and Syria remain proxy battlegrounds. Saudi Arabia watches Tehran without committing. All fronts are tightening. One spark is enough. The moment is dangerous. The US wants to project firmness. Iran seeks symbolic victories. Non‑state actors multiply uncontrolled initiatives. A miscalculation could trigger an uncontrollable chain reaction. What to...